Utah State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
200  Eric Shellhorn JR 32:12
256  Kyle McKenna SR 32:24
487  Colby Wilson FR 32:58
534  Chris Martinez SO 33:04
883  Mike Bills JR 33:40
1,003  Kade Jensen SR 33:51
1,078  Jacob Barton JR 33:57
1,161  Thomas Derr JR 34:05
1,674  Joseph Gough FR 34:47
National Rank #69 of 311
Mountain Region Rank #12 of 18
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 34.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Eric Shellhorn Kyle McKenna Colby Wilson Chris Martinez Mike Bills Kade Jensen Jacob Barton Thomas Derr Joseph Gough
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 979 32:25 32:21 33:07 33:07 34:04 34:09 34:43
Mountain West Championships 11/01 875 31:51 32:10 33:02 33:03 33:41 33:54 33:49 33:59 34:52
Mountain Region Championships 11/15 968 32:19 32:46 32:46 33:04 33:34 33:54 34:11





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 29.0 648 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 10.8 285 0.1 1.0 5.2 11.0 16.5 24.8 40.5 0.8



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Shellhorn 8.3% 119.4
Kyle McKenna 0.9% 136.3
Colby Wilson 0.1% 159.5
Chris Martinez 0.1% 213.0
Mike Bills 0.1% 238.0
Kade Jensen 0.1% 239.0
Jacob Barton 0.1% 245.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eric Shellhorn 36.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.2 2.3
Kyle McKenna 44.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8
Colby Wilson 61.4
Chris Martinez 63.8
Mike Bills 76.0
Kade Jensen 80.3
Jacob Barton 83.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.1% 42.9% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6
7 1.0% 2.0% 0.0 1.0 0.0 7
8 5.2% 5.2 8
9 11.0% 11.0 9
10 16.5% 16.5 10
11 24.8% 24.8 11
12 40.5% 40.5 12
13 0.8% 0.8 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0